Patriots bills betting line
In that first meeting, the Patriots decided to pass on passing in those brisk breezes and pushed the Buffalo defense around on the ground at will. In the follow-up game, the Bills came out guns blazing, rolled the dice on fourth down early on, and put the Patriots on their heels, eventually winning as a 1-point road underdog. The Patriots stop unit has slipped in the home stretch of the season, exposing the soft gooey middle of the schedule where New England took advantage of some less-than-stellar opposition and strung together seven straight wins.
Ever since that Week 13 win at Buffalo, the Pats defense has allowed nearly 26 points per outing in the final four games and ranks 20th in EPA allowed per play 0. If Josh Allen can find that same early-game engine that put the Bills up big in Week 16, New England will once again have to dial down the run calls and put weight on the arm of rookie quarterback Mac Jones — not the best plan of attack considering the history of first-year passers in the NFL Playoffs rookie QBs just SU in playoffs since Prediction: Buffalo Advertisement So much for that rebuild in New England.
Remember, New England was at one point before it won seven in a row to enter the playoff race. However, losses in three of the last four games mean the Patriots will have to try and advance on the road. That might not be such a bad thing. They were outside of Foxborough in the regular season. Mac Jones has not yet shown he can win a high-scoring game and the playoffs are not the time to experiment.
The Patriots are when their opponent scores 25 or more points.
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